Determining the Value of Your Points and Miles Portfolio
Part II of a three-part series on the Points and Miles "Portfolio"
This is the second part of a three-part series “Your Points and Miles ‘Portfolio.’” On Monday, I discussed key principles for building and protecting your points and miles portfolio. Today, the focus will be on evaluating the portfolio. Tomorrow’s post will discuss how to assess the “return” of your portfolio.
Why bother to determine the value of your points and miles?
In travel rewards, your points and miles only become worth something when you actually use them. Until then, they are a number or perhaps a dream of future travel. However, for purposes of travel budgeting, it is good to have an idea of what they can potentially do for you when you decide to redeem them.
I think a common mistake many people make with points and miles is failing to take their potential value seriously. Points and miles might be seen as a nice bonus for using a particular credit card, but not something that can have a meaningful impact on your life. However, with a solid plan and some awareness of how your routine credit card spending contributes to travel rewards, you can be on your way to your next vacation more quickly and easily.
Approaches to determining the value of points and miles
When I first got involved with points and miles for my family years ago, I tended to think in terms of how many miles or points I needed for a flight (or hotel room) rather than the value of a mile or point. Airlines and hotels would publish awards charts that would explain how much of their “currency” you needed for a flight or room. As an example, a common figure for a domestic flight might be 25,000 miles; a transatlantic flight might be 50,000 or 60,000 miles. These figures would give you a target to reach and upon reaching a target, I would often pivot to collecting some other airline’s miles to diversify or to take advantage of a sign-up bonus.
A few years ago, most airlines moved to a dynamic model meaning that prices in miles can vary with supply and demand (just as fares do when paying in dollars). This has been a mixed bag for people who like to fly with miles. The good news is that award travel is much less likely to be subject to “blackout” dates or limited availability. The bad news is that, while there is greater availability of seats, the dynamic (i.e., market) pricing can cost you a lot of your hard-earned miles if redeeming miles for last-minute travel or high demand flights.
With dynamic pricing now the rule, to evaluate your points and miles portfolio, it helps to be able to put a specific value on a point or mile. By doing this, you will have a better idea of the dollar value of the free travel that is available to you.
Some points and miles blogs provide point and mile valuations that can help you estimate the value of your “portfolio.” In a September post, I wrote about an algorithm developed by The Points Guy to estimate the value of points and miles. https://www.travelrewardsoptimizer.com/the-true-value-of-your-points-and-miles-it-really-is-all-about-you Despite the fact that this algorithm was based on 23,000 data points and subjected to “extensive validation testing” I asserted that it was of limited value because . . .
Ultimately, the value of your points and miles is all about you and how you travel
The “Your Mileage May Vary” (YMMV) rule applies to the valuation of points and miles. I would concur that a United mile is almost always worth more than a Hilton point. But beyond such generalizations, point and mile valuations can vary greatly.
- Are the miles for domestic or international travel? If international, which global regions?
- Do you use hotel points for budget accommodations or luxury hotels and resorts?
- Do you tend to fly main cabin, or do you try to fly business class?
- Are you able to plan travel months in advance or do you tend to make travel plans much closer to travel dates?
- Do you start air travel at a regional airport or a major national airport like LAX or JFK? Is your local airport an airline hub?
Valuations of points and miles are as unique as you and your travel goals. Just as there is no “one-size-fits-all” figure for most valuations, there is no “one-size-fits-all” Travel Rewards Optimizer plan. When creating your customized plan, we examine the above questions and many others to get you to free travel as efficiently as possible. Included in your plan is a spreadsheet template that helps you track the value of your points and miles “portfolio.” Over time, you can gain an idea of the value of your points and miles based on your individual experience with redemptions.
Tomorrow’s post will complete this series and discuss what level of “return” is plausible from your points and miles program. I hope you check it out.
We are ready to help you turn your routine credit card spending into the travel of your dreams.






